Florian
•January 23, 2026

Dubai’s property market didn’t just “finish strong” in 2025—it finished with a record-setting quarter. New data published in January 2026 shows Q4 2025 reached AED 187.47 billion in sales value, with December alone at AED 64 billion. That kind of momentum matters because it shapes pricing expectations, seller confidence, and the negotiation environment you’ll face in 2026.
Below is what this record quarter can realistically mean for buyers, renters, and investors —plus practical moves you can make now if you’re planning a Dubai property decision this year.
Property Finder’s January 2026 update reported that Dubai recorded its strongest-ever quarterly sales performance in Q4 2025 at AED 187.47B. The monthly run-rate was also unusually consistent: October (AED 59B), November (AED 64B), and December (AED 64B).
This isn’t just a headline—record quarterly value typically signals three things that directly affect your next move: (1) stronger competition for “best-in-class” units, (2) firmer seller pricing in prime areas, and (3) more selective opportunities where supply is abundant or where sellers need to close quickly.
When a market posts record value, many sellers assume “prices must go higher everywhere.” In practice, Dubai tends to split into micro-markets.
Property Finder noted that premium neighborhoods like Palm Jumeirah, Dubai Marina, and Downtown Dubai captured a significant share of transaction value—typically where demand is international and supply is limited.
Actionable takeaway: if you’re targeting prime, scarce inventory (waterfront, iconic towers, best layouts), expect less discounting. If you’re targeting areas with heavy new delivery, you can still negotiate—especially on older stock, less efficient layouts, or units with weaker views.
Large quarterly value often reflects strong off-plan activity alongside high-ticket ready deals. In practical terms, that means many buyers are still comfortable with developer payment plans—while others are paying premiums for immediate handover in established communities.
How to decide in 2026:
When a market is hot, the mistake is to chase “whatever is trending” rather than matching the area to your goal (end-use vs yield vs long-term appreciation).
Property Finder highlighted continued momentum in well-known corridors including Palm Jumeirah, Dubai Marina, Downtown Dubai, and also noted investor reliability in Business Bay, plus balanced demand in Dubai Hills Estate.
Shortlist tip: build your list in two layers—(1) your “must-have lifestyle” area and (2) one adjacent/value alternative. This keeps you from overpaying when the perfect unit isn’t available.
A record quarter can create FOMO. The smarter approach is to tighten your underwriting and focus on assets that still make sense if the market normalizes.
Use this investor checklist before you commit:
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